ExamBro
ExamBro
TS EAMCET · Maths · Probability

A company produces 10,000 items per day. On a particular day 2500 items were produced on machine A, 3500 on machine B and 4000 on machine C. The probability that an item produced by the machines A, B, C to be defective is respectively 2%,3% and 5%. If one item is selected at random from the output and is found to be defective, then the probability that it was produced by machine C, is

  1. A 1071
  2. B 1671
  3. C 4071
  4. D 2171
Verified Solution

Answer & Solution

Correct Answer

(C) 4071

Step-by-step Solution

Detailed explanation

According to Baye's theorem: PCE=PEC·PCPEAPA+PEBPB+PECPC Here, PA=250010000; PB=350010000; PC=400010000 PEA=2100; PEB=3100; PEC=5100 ⇒PCE=51004000100002100250010000+3100350010000+5100400010000 =2×2071 ∴PCE=4071