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TS EAMCET · Maths · Probability

In a communication network, ninety-eight percent of messages are transmitted with no error. If a random variable X denotes the number of incorrectly transmitted messages, then the probability that atmost one message is transmitted incorrectly out of 500 messages sent, is

  1. A 11e10
  2. B e10-1e10
  3. C e10
  4. D 98e10
Verified Solution

Answer & Solution

Correct Answer

(A) 11e10

Step-by-step Solution

Detailed explanation

n=500, q=98%=98100 Also, p+q=1 ⇒p=2100 P(r≤1)=P(r=0)+P(r=1) As per Poisson's distribution, P(X=r)=λxe-λX! Now, P(r≤1)=λ0e-λ0!+λ1e-λ1! =e-λ(1+λ) Also, λ=np=500×2100=10 So, P(r≤1)=e-10·(1+10)=11e10