TS EAMCET · Maths · Probability

Box \(A\) contains 2 black and 3 red balls, while Box \(B\) contains 3 black and 4 red balls. Out of these two boxes one is selected at random; and the probability of choosing Box \(A\) is double that of Box \(B\). If a red ball is drawn from the selected box, then the probability that it has come from Box \(B\), is

A \(\frac{21}{41}\)
B \(\frac{10}{31}\)
C \(\frac{12}{31}\)
D \(\frac{13}{41}\)

Verified Solution

Answer & Solution

Correct Answer

(B) \(\frac{10}{31}\)

Step-by-step Solution

Detailed explanation

Let \(P(B)=p\) according to given condition \(\begin{aligned} P(A) & =2 P(B)=2 p \\ P\left(\frac{R}{A}\right) & =\frac{{ }^3 C_1}{{ }^5 C_1}=\frac{3}{5} \end{aligned}\) and \(P\left(\frac{R}{B}\right)=\frac{{ }^4 C_1}{{ }^7 C_1}=\frac{4}{7}\) Using Baye's theorem…

Apply the relevant identity from the chapter and substitute the values established in the previous step, keeping the original constraint in view.

Use the simplified expression to isolate the unknown, then plug the result back into the question setup to confirm the working is internally consistent.

Cross-check against a boundary or limiting case. Both the dimensional balance and the qualitative behaviour at the extreme should agree with the candidate answer.

Combine the steps above to identify the correct option. The remaining choices each fail at least one of the consistency, dimensional, or boundary checks.

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