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JEE Advanced · Mathematics · 32. Probability

There are three bags B1,B2 and B3. The bag B1 contains 5 red and 5 green balls, B2 contains 3 red and 5 green balls, and B3 contains 5 red and 3 green balls, Bags B1,B2 and B3 have probabilities 310,310 and 410 respectively of being chosen. A bag is selected at random and a ball is chosen at random from the bag. Then which of the following options is/are correct?

  1. A Probability that the selected bag is B3 and the chosen ball is green equals 310
  2. B Probability that the chosen ball is green equals 3980
  3. C Probability that the chosen ball is green, given that the selected bag is B3, equals 38
  4. D Probability that the selected bag is B3, given that the chosen balls is green, equals 513
Verified Solution

Answer & Solution

Correct Answer

(C) Probability that the chosen ball is green, given that the selected bag is B3, equals 38

Step-by-step Solution

Detailed explanation

Let us define following events
B1 : Event of selection of bag 1 ( 5 Red, 5 Green)
B2  : Event of selection of bag 2 ( 3 Red, 5 Green)
B3 : Event of selection of bag 3 ( 5 Red, 3 Green)
R= Event of selection of Red ball
G= Event of selection of Green ball
Option (C) :
PGB3=38 (as bag 3 has been selected now total balls in bag 3=8, green ball =3 )
Option (B) :
PG=PB1PGB1+PB2PGB2+PB3PGB3
=310×510+310×58+410×38
=3980
Option (D) :
PB3G=PB3GPG
=PB3PGB3P(G)
=410×383580 PG=3980
=413
Option (A) :
PB3G=PB3PGB3
PB3G=PB3PGB3
=320
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