MHT CET · Maths · Probability
A man takes a step forward with probability 0.4 and backwards with probability 0.6 . The probability that at the end of eleven steps, he is one step away from the starting point is
- A \({ }^{11} \mathrm{C}_6(0.24)^6\)
- B \({ }^{11} \mathrm{C}_6(0.4)^6(0.6)^5\)
- C \({ }^{11} \mathrm{C}_6(0.24)^5\)
- D \({ }^{11} \mathrm{C}_6(0.4)^5(0.6)^6\)
Answer & Solution
Correct Answer
(B) \({ }^{11} \mathrm{C}_6(0.4)^6(0.6)^5\)
Step-by-step Solution
Detailed explanation
Let a step forward be a success and the step backward be a failure.
\(\therefore \quad\) Probability of success \(=\mathrm{p}=0.4\), and Probability of failure \(=q=0.6\)
Now, in 11 steps number of successes \(=6\), number of failure \(=5\)
OR
number of successes \(=5\), number of failures \(=6\)
Required probability \(={ }^{11} \mathrm{C}_6 \mathrm{p}^6 \mathrm{q}^5+{ }^{11} \mathrm{C}_5 \mathrm{p}^5 \mathrm{q}^6\).
\(\begin{aligned}
& =\frac{11 !}{6 ! 5 !} p^6 q^5+\frac{11 !}{5 ! 6 !} p^5 q^6 \\
& ={ }^{11} C_6 p^5 q^5(p+q) \\
& ={ }^{11} C_6(0-4)^5(0-6)^5(1) \\
& ={ }^{11} C_6(0 \cdot 4)^5(0 \cdot 6)^5 \\
& ={ }^{11} C_6(0 \cdot 24)^5
\end{aligned}\)
\(\therefore \quad\) Probability of success \(=\mathrm{p}=0.4\), and Probability of failure \(=q=0.6\)
Now, in 11 steps number of successes \(=6\), number of failure \(=5\)
OR
number of successes \(=5\), number of failures \(=6\)
Required probability \(={ }^{11} \mathrm{C}_6 \mathrm{p}^6 \mathrm{q}^5+{ }^{11} \mathrm{C}_5 \mathrm{p}^5 \mathrm{q}^6\).
\(\begin{aligned}
& =\frac{11 !}{6 ! 5 !} p^6 q^5+\frac{11 !}{5 ! 6 !} p^5 q^6 \\
& ={ }^{11} C_6 p^5 q^5(p+q) \\
& ={ }^{11} C_6(0-4)^5(0-6)^5(1) \\
& ={ }^{11} C_6(0 \cdot 4)^5(0 \cdot 6)^5 \\
& ={ }^{11} C_6(0 \cdot 24)^5
\end{aligned}\)
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